Saturday, February 9, 2013

Will The High Unemployment Last For a Long Time in America?


The current rate of unemployment in America is at a 7.8%. This situation affects all American people dramatically. Since the mid-nineties we have been seeing a trend to export jobs to different parts of the world. But the trend in this decade has increased substantially. One of the main reasons is the loss of competitiveness in our workforce. This decline in competitiveness will be enhanced by the effects of financial crisis. The main strategies to focus on to reduce unemployment rates are: stimulate grow up in small business; motivate the construction sector and prevent the outsourcing.

To reduce the unemployment rate reasonably low (5%), in the short term is utopian. One of the sectors (according to the statistics), which generates more jobs are small businesses and it is this sector that is most affected by the crisis. Small businesses are called the work horse of America. At the present time this sector doesn’t have additional fiscal stimulus. (Aspects that in my opinion should be a priority.) Small businesses don’t have access to lines credit to start new projects and they are receiving strong pressure from the bureaucracy that operates at different levels of government. Logically these aspects make it very difficult to create new jobs in the world of small business.

Another element that dramatically disrupts the labor market in America is construction. This industry has one of the highest unemployment levels and has been, in my opinion, the most affected by the financial crisis. The recovery in this segment of the economy will be very slow because the Real Estate market is saturated. And demand is very low because is difficult to access a mortgage. The fuel that drives the construction sector is the mortgage. The statistics shows, which for every 100 properties sold only 3% are cash deals, the remaining 97% need a mortgage. 

To complicate the situation, the tendency to export jobs to other countries such as China, India, Pakistan and others will keep growing. Because production costs in these countries are substantially lower when compared with costs in America.

To resolve this serious situation, it is crucial to create economic powerful stimulus to speed the labor market. These efforts, (lower interest rates and other programs relating to monetary and fiscal policy), take some time to produce reasonable results. But what do us need in the meantime?  The labor force needs to learn new skills, go to school and prepare ourselves for new opportunities that soon will emerge.